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Pakistan Flood Crisis 2025 : Causes, Impacts and the Kalabagh Dam Debate

The ongoing Pakistan flood crisis is one of its worst in recent decades (TheFridayTimes). In just two weeks, these unprecedented floods have displaced over a million Pakistanis, submerged farmland and even swept through elite housing societies in Lahore. Yet instead of planning for climate adaptation, Pakistan’s leaders are once again locked in the endless Kalabagh Dam debate (ArabNews).

Punjab Flooding 2025: Cities and Villages Under Water

Cities and Villages submerged under water during Pakistan Flood Crisis 2025

In recent weeks, floodwaters have swept through upper Punjab cities such as Sialkot, Gujranwala, Lahore and southern districts like Multan, Faisalabad, Bahawalpur, Rahim Yar Khan, Jhang to name a few (DAWN).

At Baloki on the Ravi River and Ganda Singh Wala on the Sutlej River, water outflow crossed 200,000 cusecs each, levels unseen for decades (DAWN). Punjab’s government claims to have rescued 700,000 people and 500,000 animals (ArabNews), but the true scale of the disaster remains unclear.

Pakistan Floods 2025: How Park View Lahore Exposed Elite Housing Risks

For the first time, floodwaters submerged elite housing societies such as Park View in Lahore, owned by Aleem Khan (DAWN). The floods destroyed more than 1,000 homes and ignited outrage among the wealthy. Yet this outrage exposes a national pattern: the public and media spotlight tragedies only when the elite suffer, while they downplay the deaths of thousands of Pakistanis in a single year from climate disasters.

Kalabagh Dam Debate: Would It Really Prevent Pakistan Flood Crisis 2025?

Location of Kalabagh Dam relative to Pakistan Flood Crisis 2025

Whenever floods devastate Pakistan, political leaders and media revive the Kalabagh Dam debate, claiming it would prevent such disasters (ArabNews). Experts disagree for the reasons tabulated below:

S NoReasonExplanation
1Wrong locationKalabagh Dam is on the Indus River, while current floods are in the Sutlej, Ravi and Chenab (TheFridayTimes).
2Local risks in KPIn Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, the dam could worsen flooding in Nowshera due to backwater effects (TheNews).
3Global decline of damsWorldwide, dams are losing importance. Hydropower now accounts for only 17% of global electricity (IEA). Aging dams also pose risks of collapse, methane emissions and environmental damage (WIRED).
4Rights of lower riparianSindh being the lower riparian in terms of the flow of Indus river. Without the consent of the lower riparian region, no such project can be initiated in the upper riparian (DAWN).

Climate Change in Pakistan: Rising Rainfall and Urban Mismanagement

Climate change and global warming is a reality and it seems like Pakistan is among the most affected countries from these phenomena. 

In the past few years, there has been a rising trend in the amount of rainfall. The annual rainfall was 16% above normal in 2023, 31% above normal in 2024.

In Lahore, farmland dropped from 54% (1972) to just 35% (2009), replaced by unplanned housing schemes (Omar et al., 2014).

Rapid deforestation has further adverse effects as the water from cloud bursts doesn’t face any resistance coming downhill and causes massive destruction due to its sheer power.

Real Estate Corruption and Pakistan Flood Crisis 2025: RUDA and Park View Case Studies

Pakistan’s real estate boom has fueled both environmental collapse and financial fraud:

The Ravi Urban Development Authority (RUDA) Project

The highlights of RUDA project are as:

  • 78,000 acres of farmland seized for a “luxury city” (DunyaDigital).
  •  Ravi River, one of the world’s most polluted, ignored instead of cleaned.
  •  Farmers displaced with little or no compensation (TheFridayTimes).

Park View Housing Society (Aleem Khan)

The highlights of this project are as:

Unfortunately, this reflects Pakistan’s larger tragedy:

“Politicians and power brokers ignore corruption until they can exploit it for political gain.”

Long-Term Flood Management Solutions for Pakistan Flood Crisis

Instead of relying on conventional mindset and outdated dam projects, Pakistan needs to formulate strategies under following heads:

1. Climate adaptation strategies: Ivesting in flood forecasting, early warning systems and disaster preparedness.

2. Urban planning reforms: Stop giving NOCs to illegal housing societies planned on floodplains.

3. Water management policies: Explore ways to restore wetlands, recharge aquifers and clean rivers.

4. Accountability: Hold the real estate developers and politicians responsible for corruption and environmental destruction.

5. Deforestation: Introduce and ensure strict implementation and enforcement of deforestation laws.

Conclusion: Moving Beyond the Kalabagh Dam Myth

Pakistan’s recurring floods are not just a natural disaster, they are a product of climate change, mismanagement and corruption. While political leaders argue over Kalabagh Dam, millions of ordinary Pakistanis face homelessness, hunger and disease. Real solutions lie in sustainable water management, urban planning and climate resilience.

FAQs

Q1. What are the main causes of the 2025 floods in Pakistan?
The 2025 floods were driven by climate change induced heavy rainfall, poor urban planning, deforestation and unregulated housing societies on floodplains.

Q2. Would the Kalabagh Dam have prevented the 2025 flood crisis?
Experts argue it would not, since current floods hit the Sutlej, Ravi and Chenab rivers and Kalabagh site location is on Indus.

Q3. What long-term solutions can reduce flood risks in Pakistan?
Pakistan needs stronger climate adaptation policies, better urban planning, enforcement against illegal housing schemes, wetland restoration and stricter deforestation control.

Share Your Thoughts

Until Pakistan shifts from political blame games to real time disaster management and climate adaptation, floods will return stronger each year. What steps should the government prioritize first, dams or disaster preparedness? Share your thoughts in the comments.

Additional Material

For further in information and in depth analysis on subject, following videos are suggested to enhance the knowledg base of the readers.

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